Thursday, April 9, 2009

ALL MARKETS ARE CLOSED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON

I will keep checking to see if anything opens up tomorrow, as quite often,
despite Holiday Schedules, gold and other commodities continue to trade
in some markets around the world.

Keep in mind, this holiday would be a great opportunity for the Market
Manipulators to pull some DIRTY TRICK to move the gold market down
so that the shorts can cover their hopelessly losing short contracts in PMs.

They could do something to open up the PM markets way down on Sunday
to blow out those traders who are open long on insufficient margins.

The way to protect those longs on the cheap, is to offset them with an equal
amount of contracts SHORT on a DIFFERENT contract month, such as AUGUST
GOLD to offset JUNE GOLD. Your margin requirements drop to those of a
SPREAD and are a couple hundred dollars for, say, five contracts.

Enjoy your Easter/Spring weather and holiday.

2:15PM PDST GOLD AFTERNOON GOLD CLOSE


JUST BEFORE THE AFTERNOON GOLD CLOSE


GOLD IS CREEPING HIGHER ON VERY LIGHT VOLUME


224 BUYERS BID TO BUY GOLD AT 879, VERY STRONG


207 contracts unfilled. maybe no one wants to
sell their gold?
Gold is inching up and away from 879 where
all those contracts are bid, so the traders will
have to adjust their bids upwards to get filled,
or gold will have to come back down to fill them
at 879. If you were a trader who was long,
and knew all those bids were sitting there, would
you sell out to them, or hang on for the ride back up?

GOLD MAY RALLY FROM HERE


GOLD HITS THE BOTTOM BLUE LINE OF THE DOWN FLAG, COULD GO TO THE NEXT 75% FIB AT 87960


Dollar has slipped to its low of .8601 since
making a high today at .8624
Dow up 230
The other markets are trending sideways

GOLD FALLS TO THE NEXT 75% RETRACEMENT FIB AT 88060, LOWER STILL?


THE NEXT LOWER 75% RETRACE FIB


Some large buy orders are showing up at this level

GOLD HITS THE NEXT 75% RETRACE FIB AT 882, MAY YET GO LOWER


Gold has now dropped out of the uptrending flag,
as expected and may go lower before rallying

GOLD STOPS AT THE DOWNTREND LINE AND BEGINS A PULLBACK


After a good run up on light volume, gold could
now sell off a long way rather than just a short
pull back.

TWO UPWARD RETRACEMENT SCENARIOS


GOLD RISING IN AFTERNOON TRADING


GOLD RISES TWO MINUTES BEFORE THE CLOSE THEN SELLS OFF IN THE LAST MINUTE, THEN RISES SLIGHTLY ON THE CLOSE


One minute chart of the closing action.



There appears to be some good sized sell orders

showing up that haven't been triggered. Gold

could sell off now as afternoon trading begins.

GOLD STARTS TO FALL INTO THE CLOSE




Dow on the rise again up about 200

Bonds fall taking back this morning's run up

Oil rising

Yen falling

Euro edging higher slightly

Dollar still falling lightly from its highs of today

HERE ARE ALL THE RETRACEMENT FIBS BACK DOWN BEFORE THE CRIMEX CLOSE


Could be a big sell off into the close and/or after
it.

GOLD APPROACHING THE 3RD 75% POINT WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE WHITE UPTREND CHANNEL LINE BOTTOM LINE.


Gold moves up on about 200 contracts in over
FIVE minutes, not exactly a rush to buy. More
than likely just some market orders than hit
a thin range of sell stops.



Any you saw how much effect that had earlier

today when gold went right through a similar

junction and dropped lower. This time it could

take it ALL back as it just loves to do.

This whole sell off has been on light volume.

And gold just jumped up about $2 on about 21 contracts

after retracing just past the 61.8% retrace point at 88160

and is still moving up

GOLD STILL FALLING PAST THE FIRST 75% RETRACE POINT


And the second 75% retrace point also.



GOLD RISES TO ONE OF THE DOWNTREND LINES DRAWN ACROSS THE TOPS MADE SINCE THE HIGH AT $1009.80 WAS MADE


Dollar tops out at .8624, currently lower at .8607
Yen moves up well
Euro trending up
Bonds turning down after a slight rise
Dow angling down after a good rise and a gap up open
which should be filled by the market dropping back
a good deal, as gaps are always filled...eventually
Gold is now pulling back and is consolidating near
the top of the white down flag.
It may drop back down to the lower area of the flag
before moving higher, or could just keep going on
this light volume with spurts of moderate to strong volume
along the way until the momentum traders start to jump on
the bull wagon.
It's sort of a 50/50 propositon right now and not really possible
to call by anybody in the SHORT TERM.
LONG TERM...we all know where gold is going, and not too very
long from now.
We are entering the Spring/Summer doldrums for this market,
but that should not be a big problem as the world is in a state
of constant crisis, and not many folks are taking vacations and
stepping away from a market as important as this one is.

GOLD MAY PULL BACK EVEN FURTHER THAN JUST THIS 75% PULL BACK


GOLD PULLS BACK NORMALLY AFTER A GOOD RUN UP ON LIGHT VOLUME DESPITE THE ZOOMING DOLLAR AND OTHER MARKETS BEING NEGATIVE TO GOLD


The white up flag that gold is trading in resolves
DOWN.
Gold could sell off later today through Crimex
Manipulation of gold and PPT manipulation of
the Dollar which is quite obvious today

GOLD TOUCHES THE NEXT 75% RETRACE POINT


DOLLAR HITS .8622, NOW AT .8612, GOLD STILL INCHES HIGHER ON VERY LIGHT VOLUME


THE LARGER PICTURE FOR NOW


The Blue up flag/trend channel resolves DOWN
So does the little white up flag that has developed
in today's trading.
All it will take is one MASSIVE DIRTY TRICK
pulled by the Guv'mint and the Crimex Manipulators
to sink the gold market, cover their hopeless short
positions, and scoop up all the gold they can and hold
on for the eventual collapse of the World's Economy.
Welcome to the end of America and Capitalism and
anything remotely called a "FREE MARKET"

GOLD MOVES A BIT HIGHER ON A SUDDEN JOLT OF 323 CONTRACTS BUT RETURNS IMMEDIATELY TO LIGHT VOLUME AND PULLS BACK




GOLD MAKES A SLIGHTLY HIGHER HIGH AND PULLS BACK A BIT, ALL ON LIGHT VOLUME


Bonds and Dollar are up
All else is down
Dow up only 150 having given up 50 poinst off
the high today
Dollar hits .8617 high, currently at off one tick
at .8616

GOLD RALLIES 75% ON LIGHT VOLUME, NOW A PULLBACK


Gold just barely breaks above the blue down flag.
Could keep going but with the dollar so strong
right now, that puts a damper on gold. Add to
that all the Crimex manipulation and gold needs
a rather calamitous event to make traders jump
in big time and drive gold up in a panic spike.
After all this recent weakness, it will take a BIG
EVENT to trigger that action. Also, the news is
all about the distraction of O'Bomb'a crapola that
has NOTHING to do with really fixing this mess.
WHICH, by the way, CAN'T BE FIXED, only accepted
as the disaster it is.
Time for some prosecutions and prison time for lots
of greedy bankers, financila wizards, AND politicians.

GOLD LOOKED VERY WEAK FOR A MOMENT BUT JUST RALLIED WELL, COULD BE A HEAD FAKE MOVE DUE TO LIGHT VOLUME


All the indicator markets are NEGATIVE to
support of gold right now, but remember gold
is trading on its own as a CURRENCY!

GOLD HOLDING VERY TENUOUSLY TO THIS LITTLE UPTREND LINE ON LIGHT VOLUME, NEEDS TO MOVE UP NOW!


Euro's turn up fails and is falling way too hard
for me.
Dow turn down is slight
Oil falling pretty steep
Bonds down

GOLD HAS STALLED FOR THE MOMENT AND COULD FALL DUE TO THE DOLLAR


GOLD SHOWING SOME WEAKNESS ON THIS LAST RALLY UP, DOLLAR IS ZOOMING DUE TO PPT BUYING


The dollar's move is a COMPLETE MANIPULATION
for now.
Remember, Sinclair said these criminals are now into
DIRTY TRICKS...
So be very careful and don't get over exposed on margin
if you use it at all. And you shouldn't to be perfectly safe.

NORMAL PULL BACK SO FAR, BUT IT BETTER START BACK UP RIGHT NOW


Gold suddenly drops to the 75% point and just
as suddenly jumps right back up on 351 contracts.
That is very good as traders know now exactly
where gold retraces to like a robot day in and day out.
Now gold just has to keep moving up..and it appears
to be doing just that.



There seems to be decent buy orders coming in

without excessive sell orders for now. That could

all change in a second if gold does not move up

soon.

Euro keeps falling too fast, but has just now
turned up

Yen is now falling (good)

GOLD MOVES UP ABOVE THE 75% POINT, PULLS BACK A LITTLE, AND GOES BACK UP


Hope this rally isn't a bear trap.
So far this pull back is normal trading, but
it needs to turn back up soon, and with the dollar
just jumping up big time, that could affect this
jumpy market



Gold could consolidate here awhile, but sure

better keep moving up, or it will fall back hard.

We need upward momentum to put this gold

train back on the bullish tracks.

Euro is falling to hard for me

Oil is trending down

Dow is up 200 but is now turning down

Yen sort of sideways but trend is down

Dollar has suddenly zoomed up to .8581
currently at .8576

GOLD STARTS BACK UP AFTER RETESTING THE LOW AGAIN


Gold was moving back up steadily, but had a
heart stopping pullback on only 40 contracts
that made you think this was a head fake, but
it is now moving back up fairly well.

GOLD RETRACES MORE THAN 75%, RISES, THEN RETEST THE LOW, NORMAL TRADING, NOW BACK UP?


NOTICE THE WHITE UPTREND LINE COINCIDES WITH THE 75% RETRACE POINT, THAT WOULD BE A GOOD TURN AROUND POINT


GOLD RISES TO THE 75% RETRACE BACK UP FROM AND OBVIOUS HEAD&SHOULDERS PATTERN WITH 8775 AS THE HEAD


A last gasp rise one tick higher and the pull back
begins...how far down is debatable, but this market
likes to take it ALL back, before moving up again.
The 75% retrace is at 87910



Now a good pull back and back up higher

GOLD MOVES UP AND MAKES A HIGHER HIGH ON DECENT VOLUME, MAY PULL BACK HERE BEFORE GOING HIGHER


Gold does pull back carefully. Making a higher
high at least confirms the bottom for now. The
is the very least level of confirmation for a bottom.
Now we need even higher highs on good volume.



GOLD ATTEMPTING TO MOVE UP ON VERY WEAK VOLUME, MAY NOT SUCCEED


THURSDAY 5:47AM PDST GOLD GETS HIT, MAY GO LOWER, WEAK BOUNCE


Weak looking descending pattern of lower highs.
We make get an exciting spike up in gold today
ahead of the Easter holiday, but I have no facts
to back that up. Just a guess and the fact that some
of the biggest quick up moves I've ever seen have
been late on pre-holiday sessions.
Otherwise, gold may get beaten down for a few more
days or weeks before turning back up for good.



Gold retests the low after a weak bounce up after

the sell off.

Wednesday, April 8, 2009