Thursday, April 30, 2009

BONDS, EURO MOVE HIGHER, DOW LOWER, DOLLAR AT .8486




Gold falling out of the new blue uptrend channel

RED DOWN FLAG RESOLVES UP


Given today's ability by gold to move up off
the 'manipulated' sell off (see UWM's comments
I posted on GoldtraderComments blog)
it appears that gold may be moving up from here
the rest of the day, IF it doesn't get smashed again
by the bullion banks before the Crimex close.
The higher it goes though, the more susceptible
it becomes to a sell off, which 'should' be rebought
at the bottom

GOLD PULLS BACK TO THE TOP BLUE LINE OF THE TRADING RANGE FOR SUPPORT AND FINDS IT


Gold retests the blue line AND the lower white
line of the uptrend channel and finds support
again
Bonds up
Dow, Oil and Euro moving down
Dollar moves up form .8466 to .8489

GOLD BREAKS UP AND OUT OF THE TRADING RANGE

BONDS PLUMMET, YEN FALLS, OIL UP, EURO UP, DOLLAR AT .8473


Gold volume still very light.

GOLD BEGINNING TO LOOK GOOD TO THE UPSIDE EVEN WITH THESE LIGHT VOLUMES


Bonds have fallen again, but remember that
means people are NOT running to bonds for
safe haven. Maybe gold will receive them into
its waiting arms...
Ooops! Bonds just rallied
Dow, Oil and Euro all rising
Yen falling
All good for gold.
Dollar slips lower to .8478

GOLD IS SIMPLY STUCK IN A TRADING RANGE BETWEEN 8815 LOW AND 8856 HIGH


GOLD TEST 8815 LOW VERY HARD AND FINDS BUYERS ON MODERATE VOLUME IN THE RALLY


Gold rallies 75%, but volume is light again.
At least gold is finding support in the 8815 area.
The Indicator markets are NOT adverse to gold
rising, but aren't really supportive of it either.
Gold is just doing its own thing for now
Dollar is at .8484, the low
Bonds and Dow are falling
Oil sideways to up
Euro moving down slightly right now




GOLD PULLS BACK, BUT FINDS BUYERS


Gold finds buyers at the 8816 level where
support has been this morning.
Volume is still ridiculously low.



DOLLAR SLIPS TO .8487


Euro still rising
Dow rising
Oil pulls back from its run up

GOLD VOLUME VERY LIGHT NOW, BUT GOLD KEEPS FIGHTING BACK UP


Gold jumps higher on only 100 contracts the
first minute and rises to the recent high at 8855
Should move higher, but how fast?



Euro is rising

Dow and Oil higher

Bonds plateau at the top of their last run up

Dollar slips to .8492

GOLD IS GOING TO 'STAIR STEP' BACK UP AND WHEN IT GETS HIGH ENOUGH, IS GOING TO GET THE LEGS KICKED OUT FROM UNDER IT AND FALL ON ITS ASS


Euro moving up
Bonds stall
Dow rises steeply, falls right back and is now
up only 103 and rising again
Oil rising again
Dollar looking toppy at .8498


UPDATE: EURO, OIL, DOW ALL MOVING UP, BONDS FALLING AGAIN


Gold forming a tiny down flag at the top of this last rally
which should resolve UP... and does move higher, but
painfully slowly and gradually.
This is worse than going to the dentist!
Dollar slips to .8497 because the PPT can't keep it suspended
in air forever.

DOLLAR MAKES ANOTHER HIGH AT .8514

Euro still moving lower
Oil wavering near its lows
Dow still slipping, now up only 70 points or so
Bonds holding in a trading range but not falling
anymore but have recently taken out previous
intermediate lows yesterday and may go lower.
And will eventually crash driving interest rates
through the roof

TWO RETRACEMENT SCENARIOS TO THE UPSIDE


GOLD ABOUT TO BLOW HIGHER


Volume is starting to increase to over 100 contracts per minute



NEW UPTREND CHANNEL LINES DRAWN


Gold might just take off from here in a few more
minutes and move up fast, but then sell the rally
back down .Volume is light at less than 100 contracts
per minute with pulses of more than that now and then




Gold buyers move back in on light volume


Dollar pulls back to .8504


Euro starting to move up


Dow slipping more


Oil falling again


But gold moves up well, thank goodness!

DOLLAR HITS .8510


Gold falling below the bottom trendline of the
new upflag and retests the low at 8815

GOLD STARTS TO FIND BUYERS ON SMALL PULSES OF MODERATE VOLUME


Gold retests 8848 and looks to be moving higher
on light volume now
Bonds rising again
Oil turns up a little
Euro still slipping




BUT....Dollar has just moved even higher


to hit .8503


Bonds wavering, but not falling


Dow slip some more to only up 95


Euro still slipping


Oil still slipping


Gold, at least, is inching higher like frozen molasses

GOLD STILL EDGING UP GRUDGINGLY ON LIGHT VOLUME NOW


Dollar hits .8497
Euro still moving lower slowly now
Gold still holding this level but had better get
a move on soon or...you know what!